# Employment of 22-25-year-olds in the two most AI-exposed occupation quintiles fell about 11% from November 2022 to June 2026, while the least-exposed quintiles grew about 10%

Page: https://flyvolo.ai/en/changes/ev-20260812-accountant-3
Date: 2026-08-12 · Stage: Labour impact
Can this record move a task judgement? yes
Occupation: https://flyvolo.ai/en/careers/accountant

## Scope

Accountants rank 4th by employment among the highest-exposure quintile in the paper's appendix, and accountants and auditors sit in its substitution rather than augmentation column. The paper says nothing about which accounting tasks moved; the link to the ledger-side tasks is this site's reading of its own task model. US administrative payroll records from ADP covering millions of workers, November 2022 to June 2026. The 11% fall is for 22-25-year-olds in the two most AI-exposed quintiles; the same age group in the three least-exposed quintiles grew about 10%. Experienced workers show no comparable gap, and the authors state they find no evidence of widespread, economy-wide displacement. The findings are descriptive, not causal, and are measured at occupation level, not task level.

## Source

- Stanford Digital Economy Lab — Brynjolfsson, Chandar & Chen, "Canaries in the Coal Mine?" (August 2026) — https://digitaleconomy.stanford.edu/app/uploads/2026/08/Canaries_August2026.pdf (primary source)

## What this means

Accountants rank fourth by employment among the most AI-exposed occupations in the paper, and accountants and auditors appear in its substitution column. Read against this profession's own pipeline, the signal is about the entry point: the ledger-side work that has always been how someone learns the books is the work the paper classifies as substitutable.

## What it does not show yet

The paper says nothing about which accounting tasks moved — the link to the ledger side is this site reading its own task model, not a finding. It also does not show the profession shrinking: experienced workers show no comparable gap, so the pattern the paper describes is a narrowing at the entry point, not a profession disappearing.

## How to verify it yourself

Ask a firm you know how many first-year hires it took this year against three years ago, and what those first-years now spend their first six months doing. If the answer is review and exception work rather than posting and matching, the entry point moved and the training path moved with it.


More: https://flyvolo.ai/llms.txt