Police officer — how we know
The page itself gives the judgements. This one gives what they rest on: which technologies bear on the work, how the estimate moved since language models reached the public, and the method behind both.
Which technologies matter here#
Four separate signals. They are deliberately not added together — a job exposed to two technologies is not twice as exposed.
How it got here#
The index is not a static number. This is where it would have sat at each capability checkpoint since ChatGPT — reconstructed, and labelled as such.
—— this stretch contains a verified event- - - no event in this stretch — reconstruction only0 = no task exposed, 100 = every task exposed
● 2 verified events for this occupation, plotted at the date it happened — the parts of the line near a marker are anchored to something checkable.
Starts at 18 because camera networks and case-management systems were part of policing before this chart begins, and rises in small steps as two different things arrive: language models that can guide a report or draft a summary, and drones and robots that take on routine patrol. It climbs slowly because both are adopted force by force through procurement and pilots, and it stays well below the office occupations because the core of the job — responding, using force lawfully and making arrests — is a legal power given to officers, not a task a system can be assigned.
A flat line is not a forecast of safety. It says which tasks automation has reached so far — the occupations that moved least here are the ones where the constraint is physical or regulatory, and both of those can change.
Method and sources#
- Assessment date
- 2026-09-23
- Basis of the task judgements
- 2 evidence-backed · 4 platform inference · 0 not enough evidence
- Verified events
- 2