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Understanding how automation changes work — task by task, with the evidence shown and the uncertainty admitted.

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Occupations›Translator / Interpreter

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Translator / Interpreter

Moves meaning between languages — and decides what to do when the meaning does not move cleanly.

Language servicesAssessed 2026-09-09
Tasks automating
1of 5
2 being augmented
Still human-led
1of 5
1 new task
Evidence-backed judgements
3of 5
6 verified records
Test this week · first of 4 directions

Find the actual certification requirement in your market and write down the cost, the time and who accepts it. Most people never do this and assume it is harder than it is — or easier.

See all 4 ↓
79/100
Automation impact indexMedium confidence

This is not a probability of losing your job. It combines how much of the role's task load is exposed to automation with how far adoption has actually gone — useful for comparing occupations on one consistent basis, and for nothing else.

Where this applies

Written for general commercial translation. Certified legal, medical and simultaneous conference interpreting sit on materially different curves, mostly because of liability and real-time constraints; court, medical, conference and sign-language interpreters have their own page.

What is happening

What is actually changing#

The unit of analysis is the task, not the job title. A role is not replaced — its task mix shifts.

AutomatingBeing augmentedStill human-ledNew taskStriped: our inference, not yet backed by a verified record

Each tile is one task. Its size is how much of the job it is; its colour is where the task is heading. Click a tile to see what the judgement does not establish.

Core task
First-draft translation of routine text
Automating✓ Evidence-backed
What this does NOT mean

Quality is highly uneven across language pairs and domains. Low-resource pairs and specialised terminology remain much weaker than the headline impression suggests.

Read this task in full →Make this your first AI experiment at work →
Core task
Post-editing machine output
New task✓ Evidence-backed
What this does NOT mean

It is real work, but it is usually priced per word at a fraction of translation rates. More of the industry's hours, less of its income.

Read this task in full →
Significant task
Translation where being wrong is expensive
Being augmented✓ Evidence-backed
What this does NOT mean

Certification protects the signature, not the volume of work behind it. Expect the same documents to need a named certifier at a fraction of the hours, which is a pay structure change more than a job count change.

Read this task in full →Make this your first AI experiment at work →
Significant task
Deciding what to change, not just how to say it
Still human-led≈ Platform inference
What this does NOT mean

Transcreation is a small, high-end slice of a market whose bulk is volume translation. Being safe in this slice says nothing about whether there is room in it for the translators displaced from the rest.

Read this task in full →
Significant task
Interpreting in the room
Being augmented≈ Platform inference
What this does NOT mean

The preference for an accountable human is strongest in exactly the settings that are rarest — courts, clinics, negotiations. Routine interpreting, which is most of the hours, has fewer defenders.

Read this task in full →Make this your first AI experiment at work →

Is this your job? Say so and this page narrows to your share of it.

A job title is a bundle of tasks bought together, and no two people hold the same bundle. Nothing is sent anywhere — it stays in this browser.

First-draft translation of routine textAutomating✓ Evidence-backedPost-editing machine outputNew task✓ Evidence-backedTranslation where being wrong is expensiveBeing augmented✓ Evidence-backedDeciding what to change, not just how to say itStill human-led≈ Platform inferenceInterpreting in the roomBeing augmented≈ Platform inference

Read all 5 tasks in full — direction, reasoning and limits →

Recent changes#

20192020202120222023202420252026today2019-03-01 · DeploymentThe US Department of Justice reports machine translation deployed department-wide since March 2019 for an attorney's initial review, and states that its output does not constitute an official record2024-05-06 · Policy mandateMachine translation of critical health documents must be reviewed by a qualified human translator, and covered entities must use qualified translators, under the Section 1557 rule2025-04-28 · Labour impactDuolingo's CEO told staff the company would become 'AI-first' and gradually stop using contractors for work AI can handle; the memo was later softened after public backlash2025-07-01 · ConstraintCrunchyroll's German subtitles for an anime premiere contained the line 'ChatGPT said…'; the company said a third-party vendor had used AI-generated subtitles in violation of its agreement2026-01-20 · DeploymentNetflix told shareholders it is using AI to improve subtitle localization across its catalogue2026-04-28 · Labour impactChina's translators association reported a 2025 workforce of 6.867 million and pay rising at over 60% of firms, while industry output edged down to 70.12 billion yuan
Can move a judgementCannot move one (forecast, capability demo…)
Labour impact2026-04-28Verified 2026-09-11
China's translators association reported a 2025 workforce of 6.867 million and pay rising at over 60% of firms, while industry output edged down to 70.12 billion yuan

Mainland China, the association's own industry census. Against its 2025 report (2024 data: 70.8 billion yuan output, 6.808 million workers), the workforce rose about 0.9% while output fell about 1%. The headline workforce number is roughly six times the 1.135 million counted as full-time translators, so most of it is not full-time work. The same report puts 2,183 firms with AI translation as their main business and calls human-machine collaboration the industry's basic consensus; the 2024 report had already said over 90% of firms were deploying large models.

Verifiable change in hiring, headcount, hours or job scope. Highest weight — but causal attribution still has to be argued, not assumed.

中国翻译协会《2026中国翻译行业发展报告》发布稿(一手) ↗Full impact card →
Deployment2026-01-20Verified 2026-09-11
Netflix told shareholders it is using AI to improve subtitle localization across its catalogue

One line in a shareholder letter, stated in the present tense: "In content production and promotion, we're using AI to improve subtitle localization, making it easier for our titles to reach more viewers around the world." Netflix does not say which languages, what share of titles, which step of the pipeline, or whether any human localiser's work changed. "Improve" is the company's word and could mean a tool handed to translators as easily as a draft generated without one. Subtitles only — the letter says nothing about dubbing.

An employer has put it into production. Can move the baseline — weighted by scale and how similar the setting is.

Netflix (Q4 2025 shareholder letter) ↗Full impact card →
Constraint2025-07-01Verified 2026-09-10
Crunchyroll's German subtitles for an anime premiere contained the line 'ChatGPT said…'; the company said a third-party vendor had used AI-generated subtitles in violation of its agreement

Entertainment subtitling, one streaming platform, one episode (Necronomico and the Cosmic Horror Show, ep. 1, 1 July 2025). The company's president had said in 2024 it was testing generative AI for subtitling; the failure was unreviewed vendor output.

Failure, rollback, regulation or cost is suppressing adoption. Can lower an assessment or widen its uncertainty.

Engadget ↗Full impact card →
Labour impact2025-04-28Verified 2026-09-13
Duolingo's CEO told staff the company would become 'AI-first' and gradually stop using contractors for work AI can handle; the memo was later softened after public backlash

One company's stated policy for contractor work (content and translation). Primary source is a LinkedIn post by the company.

Verifiable change in hiring, headcount, hours or job scope. Highest weight — but causal attribution still has to be argued, not assumed.

Tech Wire Asia ↗Full impact card →
Policy mandate2024-05-06Verified 2026-09-30
Machine translation of critical health documents must be reviewed by a qualified human translator, and covered entities must use qualified translators, under the Section 1557 rule

United States, health programs receiving federal funds. The final rule says that when translation services are required, a covered entity must utilize the services of a qualified translator, and that if it uses machine translation when the underlying text is critical to an individual's rights, benefits or meaningful access, when accuracy is essential, or when the source contains complex, non-literal or technical language, the translation must be reviewed by a qualified human translator. Effective July 5, 2024. It is one country's rule for health programmes; other parts of the rule have been challenged in court.

Regulation, subsidy or public procurement is requiring or funding adoption — the mirror of a constraint. It shows adoption is being required, not that it has happened, so one mandate is never enough on its own; two independent ones are.

U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Office for Civil Rights — Nondiscrimination in Health Programs and Activities, final rule, 89 FR 37522 (May 6, 2024), 45 CFR 92.201 ↗Full impact card →
Deployment2019-03-01Verified 2026-09-21
The US Department of Justice reports machine translation deployed department-wide since March 2019 for an attorney's initial review, and states that its output does not constitute an official record

The entry is the department's own submission to the statutory inventory OMB publishes under the Advancing American AI Act, so the publisher is the employer describing a deployment it runs. The department draws the line itself: the machine output is a tool for initial review by an attorney and, in its own words, does not constitute an official record. The entry gives its operational date only as a month, 03/2019, so it is recorded as the first of that month; the reported date is the April 2026 data upload, which the repository dates as of 13 April 2026. Read across the whole file, the same product appears inside this one department at four bureaus deployed (department-wide from 03/2019, the antitrust division from 01/2023, the criminal division and the public affairs office from 01/2024), one bureau not yet deployed, and one retired. A second agency, the Federal Trade Commission, records the same product deployed since 2022 and gives its reason as manual translation and transcription being slow and of inconsistent accuracy. What the entry does not give is any headcount, any volume, or any measure of how review time changed. It also says nothing about certified translation: it describes an initial read, not an official one, so it does not bear on who signs a certified document.

An employer has put it into production. Can move the baseline — weighted by scale and how similar the setting is.

OMB — 2025 Federal Agency AI Use Case Inventory (entry DOJ-0244) ↗Full impact card →
What it means for you

What this means for you#

If you are starting out

This is the hardest first-batch occupation to enter right now. The volume work that used to let a new translator build speed and a portfolio is largely gone, and post-editing rates are too low to learn on. If you are entering, aim at a specialism with liability or regulation attached, or at localisation roles that sit inside a product team rather than at an agency.

If you are experienced

Your per-word income is under structural pressure and that is unlikely to reverse. The defensible positions are subject-matter authority, certification, and client relationships where you are advising on the market rather than delivering words. If your current mix is mostly volume work at agency rates, treat that as a signal to move rather than to work faster.

Your options#

Four directions, each with its real constraints and one thing you can test this week. Continuing as you are is a legitimate choice — it just has to be a chosen one.

Reshape the role

Specialise into a liability-bearing niche

Certified legal, medical and regulatory translation still needs a named, qualified person, and prices accordingly.

Real constraints

Certification takes real time and money, and requirements are jurisdiction-specific. Verify the exact local requirement before starting.

Test this week

Find the actual certification requirement in your market and write down the cost, the time and who accepts it. Most people never do this and assume it is harder than it is — or easier.

Adjacent move

Localisation inside a product team

In-house localisation is about making a product work in a market — terminology systems, cultural review, working with engineers — and is paid as a product role rather than per word.

Real constraints

Requires comfort with tooling and version control, and usually a specific target market where you are genuinely native.

Test this week

Take a product you use, find three localisation errors in your language, and write up why each one is wrong. That document opens doors.

Adjacent move

User research or international operations

The underlying skill — understanding what people in another market actually mean — is the scarce part, and it is worth more when applied to research than to text.

Real constraints

The title change makes your CV harder to read. Expect to need one project that demonstrates the new skill before anyone will hire you for it.

Test this week

Interview three users in your language about a product, and write a one-page findings note. That is the artefact, and it takes a week.

Stay and strengthen

Reposition from translating to advising

Clients still need someone to tell them whether the message works in the target market. That conversation is not priced per word.

Real constraints

Only works with clients who have a market decision to make. Agency intermediation usually blocks it.

Test this week

On your next job, send one unsolicited paragraph on what will not land in the target market and why. See whether the client engages.

Common questions#

Should I still study translation or a foreign language?

Studying a language is not the same as training to be a translator, and the two have diverged sharply. Deep command of a language plus a second domain — law, medicine, product, research — is more valuable than ever. Training aimed purely at producing translations is aimed at the part of the work that has moved fastest. If you are already in the programme, the useful move is to add the second domain now rather than to switch out.

How long do I have?

We will not give you a date, and anyone who does is guessing. Watch one thing instead: what your clients pay for. The moment a regular client asks for post-editing rates rather than translation rates, the change has arrived at your desk — that repricing is the event, and it usually comes a year or more before any volume drops.

Which part of my work is actually at risk?

First-draft translation of routine text — that is the task on this page marked automating, and it is where most working hours and most invoice lines sit. Certification, transcreation and live interpreting are not in the same position, but together they are a smaller and more senior market than the volume work they would have to absorb.

Does this apply to my language pair?

Unevenly, and that unevenness is the most useful thing to know. Machine quality is strongest between high-resource European languages and weakest on low-resource pairs and specialised terminology. If you work in a pair with little training data, your exposure today is genuinely lower — and it is also the thing most likely to change without warning when someone releases a model trained on more of your language.

Studying towards this?

These majors lead here. Their pages break down which of their competencies transfer and what graduates typically lack.

English / Foreign languages →
How we know

What these judgements rest on#

3 of 5 task judgements on this page are backed by a verified event and 2 are platform inference, each labelled where it appears. Behind them sit 1 technology dimensions, a reconstructed trajectory since language models reached the public, and 6 verified events.

See which technologies, how it got here, and the method →

Where it sits in the official classification: skills, knowledge, related jobs →

Other roles in the same function#

A company divides its work into functions before it divides it into jobs. These sit in Core delivery (industry-specific) alongside this one — a fact about org charts, not a judgement that they are similar or that they are changing in the same direction.

Content moderator · Registered nurse · Midwife · Radiologist · Pathologist · Radiographer / radiologic technologist · General practitioner / primary care doctor · Surgeon · Anaesthesiologist / anaesthetist · Respiratory therapist · Optometrist · Care worker / nursing assistant · Counsellor / psychotherapist · Psychologist · Dietitian / nutritionist · Pharmacist · Pharmacy technician · School teacher · Driving instructor · University lecturer · Chef / cook · Electrician · Plumber · HVAC technician · Architect · Building inspector · Drafter / CAD technician · Interior designer · Civil / structural engineer · Land surveyor · Urban planner · GIS analyst / cartographer · Electrical engineer · Chip design engineer · Mechanical engineer · Industrial engineer · Quantity surveyor · Journalist · Editor and proofreader · Interpreter · Retail cashier / shop assistant · Bank teller · Medical assistant / clinic assistant · Waiter / restaurant server · Bartender / barista · Hairdresser / barber · Construction worker · Bricklayer / blocklayer · Carpenter / joiner · Auto mechanic / vehicle technician · Medical laboratory technician · Physiotherapist / rehabilitation therapist · Speech-language pathologist / speech and language therapist · Occupational therapist · Phlebotomist · Massage therapist · Firefighter · Paramedic / EMT · Police officer · Emergency dispatcher · Farmer · Gardener / landscaper · Social worker · Dentist · Dental hygienist · Dental assistant / dental nurse · Veterinarian · Librarian · Welder · Machinist / CNC machinist · Sonographer