LO
Procurement / supply chain specialist — how we know
The page itself gives the judgements. This one gives what they rest on: which technologies bear on the work, how the estimate moved since language models reached the public, and the method behind both.
Which technologies matter here#
Four separate signals. They are deliberately not added together — a job exposed to two technologies is not twice as exposed.
How it got here#
The index is not a static number. This is where it would have sat at each capability checkpoint since ChatGPT — reconstructed, and labelled as such.
—— this stretch contains a verified event- - - no event in this stretch — reconstruction only0 = no task exposed, 100 = every task exposed
● 3 verified events for this occupation, plotted at the date it happened — the parts of the line near a marker are anchored to something checkable.
A middling start that is not about language models: three-way matching and e-procurement had been taking the paperwork half since the 2000s. The 2023-2025 climb is the other structured half falling — desk research over a spec, and reading the unstructured documents that had kept a person in the loop (the supplier's PDF, the email that moved a date). It flattens where the work stops being information: whether a supplier will hold through a bad quarter, and who the company protects when there is not enough to go round. Note what the curve cannot see — the half that looks most like expertise from outside is the half that fell, which is why this occupation tends to underestimate its own exposure.
A flat line is not a forecast of safety. It says which tasks automation has reached so far — the occupations that moved least here are the ones where the constraint is physical or regulatory, and both of those can change.
Written about this#
These pieces argue from the same records this page holds, and each of their sections names what it rests on.
Method and sources#
- Assessment date
- 2026-09-13
- Basis of the task judgements
- 1 evidence-backed · 5 platform inference · 0 not enough evidence
- Verified events
- 3