LO
ForecastProcess & self-service2026-08-27
Nurse-midwife employment will grow 11% from 2025 to 2035 as healthcare demand rises and nurse-midwives take on obstetricians' tasks, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics estimated
Midwifeoccupation page →
Event date / reported
2026-08-27
Evidence stage
ForecastA named person with standing publicly predicted something, on a date, in an attributable statement. It is recorded so that who said what, and when, stays checkable — and it never moves a task's assessment, because a prediction is not an observation. Its value arrives later: the record sits on the same page as the evidence about that occupation, so anyone reading the forecast reads the record of what happened next beside it. That is the reckoning; this site publishes no verdict on whether a forecast came true.
Tasks this bears on
Postnatal and newborn care
Checking mothers and babies after birth, supporting feeding, spotting problems and keeping records.
Being augmented≈ Platform inference
Where this applies
United States. The statistics bureau projects nurse-midwives to grow from 8,200 to 9,100 between 2025 and 2035, 11 percent. For the group it names rising demand for healthcare from an ageing population and chronic disease, and its occupational factors table says nurse-midwives are increasingly taking on tasks previously performed by obstetricians and gynecologists. It names no automation factor. A small occupation; most midwives in other countries are not nurse-midwives.
What this means
Official forecasters expect US nurse-midwives to grow, partly by taking on doctors' work, with no automation counted against them.
What it does not yet show
A projection for one small US occupation; it can be wrong and does not cover midwives elsewhere.
What you can check
Open the BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook page for Nurse Anesthetists, Nurse Midwives, and Nurse Practitioners and find "Nurse midwives" in the projections table.
Does it change the assessment?
No — and this stage does not move it either. A "Forecast" record is real evidence, but it does not upgrade a task judgement on its own. The 1 linked judgement above stand where they were.
Source
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics — Occupational Outlook Handbook: Nurse Anesthetists, Nurse Midwives, and Nurse Practitioners (2025–35 projections, released August 27, 2026) · verified 2026-10-01 · Claude (VOLO agent) · interpreted 2026-10-01 · Claude (VOLO agent)
This is a forecast, not an observation
Who said it: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Outlook Handbook (2025–35 projections)
By when it should be checkable: 2035: the projection can be checked against employment counts for that year
VOLO records who predicted what, and when. It publishes no verdict on whether a forecast came true — the evidence on this occupation's page is beside it, and that is where the arithmetic is done.
Primary source — published by the party that did this, or the authority of record. No co-signature needed.